新组合模型在光电功率预测中的应用

为提高光伏预测要求的精准性,文章提出一种新算法将神经网络和ARMA算法改进组合,构成NEW ARMA-BP模型算法.以某30兆瓦的光伏电站采集的输出功率为输入样本,基于ARMA和BP神经网络算法在Matlab环境下依次搭建了相应的预测模型,预估光伏短期输出量.采用"误差正态检验图"判断基于两种不同算法的误差水平,依据两种单模型预测误差,运用所提出的新方法计算权值并获得新的预测值.基于Matlab的仿真结论验证了组合预测在光伏输出预测领域的适用性.     

Analyses of reaction rate data for the simple hydrolysis of acetic anhydride in the acetonitrile/water and acetone/water cosolvent systems using recently developed thermodynamic rate equations

This article presents reaction rate data for the simple hydrolysis of acetic anhydride in the acetonitrile/water and acetone/water cosolvent systems and regression analyses using recently developed thermodynamic rate equations that contain electrostatic and solvent-solute terms. The isomole fraction plots for these reaction systems are linear, and previous theoretical work has shown that the electrostatic term is negligible for such systems. On the other hand, the reaction rates are dependent upon the cosolvent mole fraction, indicating that the solvent-solute term, which is modeled empirically, is significant. The results of the analyses provide the foundation for a paradigm shift away from the emphasis on electrostatic effects to more tenable explanations of kinetic behavior in solvent systems.     

Rotation-Inversion Isomerization of Tertiary Carbamates: Potential Energy Surface Analysis of Multi-Paths Isomerization Using Boltzmann Statistics

Potential energy surface (PES) analyses at the SMD[MP2/6–311++G(d,p)] level and higher-level energies up to MP4(fc,SDTQ) are reported for the fluorinated tertiary carbamate N-ethyl-N-(2,2,2-trifluoroethyl) methyl carbamate ( VII ) and its parent system N,N-dimethyl methyl carbamate ( VI ). Emphasis is placed on the analysis of the rotational barrier about the CN carbamate bond and its interplay with the hybridization of the N-lone pair (NLP). All rotational transition state (TS) structures were found by computation of 1D relaxed rotational profiles but only 2D PES scans revealed the rotation-inversion paths in a compelling fashion. We found four unique chiral minima of VII , one pair each of E- and Z-rotamers, and we determined the eight unique rotational TS structures associated with every possible E/Z-isomerization path. It is a significant finding that all TS structures feature N-pyramidalization whereas the minima essentially contain sp²-hybridized nitrogen. We will show that the TS stabilities are affected by the synergetic interplay between NLP/CO₂ repulsion minimization, NLP→σ^*(CO) negative hyperconjugation, and two modes of intramolecular through-space electrostatic stabilization. We demonstrate how Boltzmann statistics must be applied to determine the predicted experimental rotational barrier based on the energetics of all eight rotamerization pathways. The computed barrier for VII is in complete agreement with the experimentally measured barrier of the very similar fluorinated carbamate N-Boc-N-(2,2,2-trifluoroethyl)-4-aminobutan-1-ol II . NMR properties of VII were calculated with a variety of density functional/basis set combinations and Boltzmann averaging over the E- and Z-rotamers at our best theoretical level results in good agreement with experimental chemical shifts δ(¹³C) and J(¹³C,¹⁹F) coupling constants of II (within 6 %).     

具有非线性热源项的耦合杆系统

主要以经典的算子半群理论为依据,研究了一类具有非线性热效应的耦合杆系统的长时间行为.首先在齐次边界条件和初始条件下,证明了系统解的存在唯一性;其次通过渐近先验估计,证明了系统有界吸收集的存在性;最后利用算子半群的分解技巧,得到了系统全局吸引子的存在性.     

Rethinking pedagogy for second-order differential equations: a simplified approach to understanding well-posed problems

Knowing an equation has a unique solution is important from both a modelling and theoretical point of view. For over 70 years, the approach to learning and teaching ‘well posedness’ of initial value problems (IVPs) for second- and higher-order ordinary differential equations has involved transforming the problem and its analysis to a first-order system of equations. We show that this excursion is unnecessary and present a direct approach regarding second- and higher-order problems that does not require an understanding of systems.     

Error Estimates for Semi-Discrete and Fully Discrete Galerkin Finite Element Approximations of the General Linear Second-Order Hyperbolic Equation

In this article, we derive error estimates for the semi-discrete and fully discrete Galerkin approximations of a general linear second-order hyperbolic partial differential equation with general damping (which includes boundary damping). The results can be applied to a variety of cases (e.g. vibrating systems of linked elastic bodies). The results generalize pioneering work of Dupont and complement a recent article by Basson and Van Rensburg.